Admittedly, over the years, we’ve seen the stories and the projections, but we’ve never truly grasped what it is that we’re seeing.
What is the “ESPN Computer model,” exactly? What is “the Football Power Index” in reality?
All that is actually known is that the “ESPN Computer” is selecting the team to play in the Super Bowl for 2023, and it (they?) predict that the San Francisco 49ers will take on the Baltimore Ravens in the championship game.
Sounds fantastic! How did we get here?
A noteworthy observation is that the computer seems to have altered its decisions and selections during the 2023 NFL regular season. Thus, it has once again altered its mind as we approach Week 15.
The 49ers are predicted by ESPN’s Football Power Index to win the Super Bowl with a 33.2 percent likelihood, therefore they are the clear favorites.
The Ravens now have a 16.0 percent chance of winning the game, according to some machine.
For what it’s worth, the Dallas Cowboys of the NFC and the Kansas City Chiefs of the AFC have the next-best odds, respectively, at 13.8 and 10.9 percent.
With due regard to the projections, which you can view here, our evaluation of the top three or so teams is as follows: We refer to it as “the standings.”
Using that conventional metric, which three teams are the obvious “three best”? You guessed it: With 10-3 records, three clubs are atop the divisions.
The 49ers. The Ravens, too. Next came the Cowboys.
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